Random Baseline

3 runs · 3 datasets · 1 model

slug: random-baseline

0.763

Best SPS · opinionsqa

Disaggregated subgroup scorecard. Each card below is one published run for this vendor; expand the question-type and demographic-subgroup sections to see the matrix beneath the headline SPS. Where coverage permits, 95% CI bands accompany the point estimate.

globalopinionqa baseline

baseline--random-baseline--tdefault--tplcurrent--d6b76ef5

0.710 ± 0.100

SPS · 95% CI [0.481, 0.680] · n = 10

Question-type breakdown (4 topics)

Topic	SPS	p_dist	p_rank	p_refuse	N
International Relations & Security	0.615	0.761	0.470	0.989	6
Politics & Governance	0.611	0.776	0.446	0.965	2
General Attitudes	0.435	0.870	0.000	1.000	1
Trust & Wellbeing	0.379	0.482	0.276	0.970	1

No demographic subgroup breakdown published for this run yet. When conditioned runs land, age / geography / education / party-ID slices appear here with p_dist and coverage.

opinionsqa baseline

baseline--random-baseline--tdefault--tplcurrent--971f8ad1

0.763 ± 0.012

SPS · 95% CI [0.638, 0.661] · n = 684

Question-type breakdown (10 topics)

Topic	SPS	p_dist	p_rank	p_refuse	N
Media & Information	0.672	0.800	0.544	0.993	63
Health & Science	0.668	0.804	0.532	0.987	47
Technology & Digital Life	0.660	0.785	0.535	0.993	26
International Relations & Security	0.660	0.817	0.503	0.988	149
Politics & Governance	0.659	0.814	0.503	0.989	40
Social Values & Religion	0.650	0.795	0.505	0.990	37
Economy & Work	0.646	0.796	0.496	0.991	68
General Attitudes	0.635	0.810	0.460	0.989	190
Trust & Wellbeing	0.628	0.779	0.476	0.995	25
Identity & Demographics	0.626	0.807	0.445	0.985	39

No demographic subgroup breakdown published for this run yet. When conditioned runs land, age / geography / education / party-ID slices appear here with p_dist and coverage.

subpop baseline

baseline--random-baseline--tdefault--tplcurrent--c53167f6

0.757 ± 0.021

SPS · 95% CI [0.627, 0.669] · n = 200

Question-type breakdown (9 topics)

Topic	SPS	p_dist	p_rank	p_refuse	N
Identity & Demographics	0.826	0.798	0.854	0.995	1
Trust & Wellbeing	0.693	0.886	0.500	0.988	2
Economy & Work	0.689	0.852	0.526	0.991	17
Health & Science	0.672	0.807	0.537	0.994	5
Technology & Digital Life	0.654	0.814	0.494	0.993	47
General Attitudes	0.644	0.803	0.485	0.913	37
Social Values & Religion	0.640	0.828	0.452	0.987	36
International Relations & Security	0.639	0.798	0.481	0.991	33
Politics & Governance	0.623	0.821	0.426	0.983	22

No demographic subgroup breakdown published for this run yet. When conditioned runs land, age / geography / education / party-ID slices appear here with p_dist and coverage.

No demographic conditioning data has been published for this vendor yet. The question-type matrix above shows topic-level parity; subgroup rows fill in once SynthPanel-style conditioned runs land.

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